Champions League
Oct 4, 2022 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Zaidu Sanusi 69' goal
  • Galeno 87' goal

Porto vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 4 Brugge

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 13, 2022 8.00pm
B. Leverkusen 2 - 0 Atletico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Porto 49.62% (-0.04)
Draw 23.11% (+0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen 27.26% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.19% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.36%
Under 2.5 40.63% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.97% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 63.02% (-0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 83.43% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 16.57% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 53.64% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 46.35% (+0.02)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 72.15% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.85% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 36.54% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.45% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Porto 49.62%
Draw 23.11%
Bayer Leverkusen 27.26%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 49.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.11%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 6.78% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 27.26%

Head to Head

Europa League
Feb 27, 2020 5.55pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ze Luis 33' yellowcard
  • Sergio Oliveira 36' yellowcard
  • Mateus Uribe 42' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcano 54' yellowcard
  • Moussa Marega 65' goal
  • Shoya Nakajima 76' yellowcard
  • Diogo Leite 82' yellowcard
  • Pepe 82' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 85' redcard
  • goal Lucas Alario 10'
  • yellowcard Lars Bender 43'
  • goal Kerem Demirbay 50'
  • goal Kai Havertz 58'
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 67'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Weiser 69'
  • yellowcard Nadiem Amiri 82'
Europa League
Feb 20, 2020 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Alario 29' goal
  • Kai Havertz 57' goal
  • Kerem Demirbay 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesus Corona 26'
  • yellowcard Wilson Manafa 54'
  • yellowcard Mateus Uribe 58'
  • goal Luis Diaz 73'
  • yellowcard Shoya Nakajima 88'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcano 90'