Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.