Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.