| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Estoril Praia | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 |
| 3 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Portimonense | 7 | 2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 9.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 0-3 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
| 9.98% ( | 17.55% ( | 72.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.5% ( | 44.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.13% ( | 66.87% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.55% ( | 50.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.03% ( | 84.97% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.14% ( | 10.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.02% ( | 34.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.75% ( 2-1 @ 2.85% ( 2-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.98% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 2-2 @ 3.16% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 17.55% | 0-2 @ 13.5% ( 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0-3 @ 9.99% ( 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0-4 @ 5.55% ( 1-4 @ 3.79% ( 0-5 @ 2.46% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-5 @ 1.68% ( 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0-6 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 72.46% |