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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Chaves

Porto
3 - 0
Chaves

Taremi (3'), Evanilson (70'), Franco (82')
Uribe (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guimaraes (28'), Morim (67'), Monte (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, September 5 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Chaves

While Chaves will look to maintain their solid run of results, they take on a Porto side who will be looking to make an immediate positive response to their Champions League defeat. The Dragoes have turned their home ground into a fortress, winning each of their last 12 games in front of their fans, and we are backing them to continue in the same vein and extend their dominance over the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.05%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawChaves
80.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 12.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 6.9% (0.0019 0)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)33.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)55.12% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.53% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)6.47% (0.017 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.18% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.05% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)49.95% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.37% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)84.62% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Porto 80.1%
    Chaves 6.91%
    Draw 12.98%
PortoDrawChaves
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 80.1%
1-1 @ 6.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 12.98%
0-1 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 6.91%

How you voted: Porto vs Chaves

Porto
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Chaves
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Chaves
1-4
Porto
Gallo (76' pen.)
Singh (59')
Tiquinho (24', 42', 68'), Coelho (87' og.)
Tiquinho (35'), Corona (61')
Aug 11, 2018 9pm
Porto
5-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (14', 20'), Brahimi (45'), Corona (71'), Mouandilmadji (88')

Eustaquio (50'), Martins (58')
Teixeira (80')
Feb 11, 2018 4pm
Chaves
0-4
Porto

Pereira (21'), Bressan (45')
Tiquinho (14', 28'), Marega (57'), Oliveira (91')
Otavinho (49'), Pereira (56'), Corona (65'), Majeed Waris (65')
Sep 9, 2017 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (49'), Soares (86'), Marega (89')
Torres (53')

Djavan (64'), Paulinho (75'), Ricardo (90')
Apr 29, 2017 8.30pm
Chaves
0-2
Porto

Bressan (41'), Queiros (45'), Nelson (54'), Davidson (65'), Ponck (75')
Soares (52'), Andre (72')
Pereira (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10SC FarenseFarense3197154244-234
11Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
12Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
13Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora31611143249-1729
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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