Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
3 - 0
Chaves

Taremi (3'), Evanilson (70'), Franco (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Braga	5	15	13
3	Porto	5	8	12
4	Portimonense	5	5	12

Chaves

Last Six:

Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, September 5 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Boavista	5	-2	9
7	Chaves	5	2	8
8	Casa Pia	5	2	8

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.05%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Chaves
80.1% ( -0.02)	12.98% ( 0.02)	6.9% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.65% (

-0.07)

33.35% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.87% (

-0.08)

55.12% (

0.08)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.53% (

-0.02)

6.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.82% (

-0.05)

24.18% (

0.05)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.05% (

-0.04)

49.95% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.37% (

-0.03)

84.62% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Porto 80.1%

Chaves 6.91%

Draw 12.98%

Porto	Draw	Chaves
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 80.1%	1-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 12.98%	0-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.13% Other @ 2.53% Total : 6.91%