Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Porto
Aug 20, 2022 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Sporting Lisbon
  • Zaidu Sanusi 41' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 42' goal
  • Mateus Uribe 78' goal
  • Galeno 86' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 16'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 40'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 42'
  • redcard Pedro Porro 75'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 76'

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2022 6.00pm
Vizela 0 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Mehdi Taremi

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Pedro Goncalves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result

Porto 50.15% ▼ (-1.22)
Draw 23.08% ▲ (+0.31)
Sporting Lisbon 26.77% ▲ (+0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.86% ▼ (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.11% ▼ (-0.62)
Under 2.5 40.89% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 3.5 36.72% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 3.5 63.27% ▲ (+0.64)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 83.53% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 0.5 16.47% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 1.5 53.83% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 1.5 46.17% ▲ (+1.20)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 71.66% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 0.5 28.34% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 1.5 35.92% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 1.5 64.08% ▼ (-0.45)

Score analysis

Porto 50.15%
Draw 23.08%
Sporting Lisbon 26.77%
Porto
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.14)
4-0 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 50.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.08%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.17)
0-1 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 26.77%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Porto
Apr 21, 2022 8.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Evanilson 31' yellowcard
  • Toni Martinez 83' goal
  • redcard Pedro Porro 89'
Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon
Mar 2, 2022 8.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Porto
  • Paulinho 33' yellowcard
  • Pablo Sarabia 49' goal
  • Antonio Adan 56' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 57' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Matheus Reis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Ruben Amorim 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 59'
  • goal Evanilson 64'
  • yellowcard Agustin Marchesin 78'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 80'
  • yellowcard Pepe 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Porto
Feb 11, 2022 8.15pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Fabio Vieira 38' goal
  • Pepe 42' yellowcard
  • Otavio 45' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 78' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 82' yellowcard
  • Pepe 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Agustin Marchesin 90'+10' redcard
  • Pepe 90'+10' redcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 1'
  • goal Paulinho 8'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 27'
  • goal Nuno Santos 34'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 45'
  • redcard Sebastian Coates 49'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 54'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 63'
  • yellowcard Joao Palhinha 71'
  • redcard Bruno Tabata 90'+10'
  • redcard Joao Palhinha 90'+10'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sporting Lisbon
Sep 11, 2021 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Porto
  • Ruben Vinagre 3' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 14' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 16' goal
  • Luis Neto 39' yellowcard
  • Pedro Porro 43' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 51' yellowcard
  • Antonio Adan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Costa 2'
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcano 4'
  • yellowcard Pepe 43'
  • yellowcard Wilson Manafa 56'
  • goal Luis Diaz 71'
  • yellowcard Toni Martinez 85'
  • redcard Toni Martinez 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Porto
Feb 27, 2021 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Pepe 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 27'
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 55'
Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 19, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Porto
  • Pedro Porro 42' yellowcard
  • Joao Palhinha 52' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 57' yellowcard
  • Vitorino Antunes 72' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 86' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Marko Grujic 35'
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 43'
  • yellowcard Sergio Conceicao 44'
  • goal Moussa Marega 79'
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 90'+6'

Form Data

Vizela 0 - 1 Porto
Porto 5 - 1 Maritimo
Porto 3 - 0 Tondela
Porto 2 - 1 Monaco
Porto 3 - 1 Tondela
Porto 2 - 0 Estoril
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Rio Ave
Braga 3 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Wolves
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 Roma
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Santa Clara
Portimonense 2 - 3 Sporting Lisbon