| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 59.86% ( | 21.9% ( | 18.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( | 45.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( | 67.91% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( | 14.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% ( | 43.11% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( | 38.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.53% ( | 75.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 5-1 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.24% |