Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.