| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
| 8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Maritimo |
| 40.02% ( | 26.96% ( | 33.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.45% ( | 54.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.1% ( | 75.89% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( | 26.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% ( | 61.97% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% ( | 67.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 33.02% |