| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Arouca | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Chaves | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Pacos de Ferreira | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Chaves |
| 46.86% ( | 27.9% ( | 25.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.92% ( | 61.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.94% ( | 81.06% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( | 26.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( | 61.25% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.89% ( | 77.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 4-1 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.86% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-2 @ 3.89% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 25.24% |