Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
0 - 2
Chaves

Edwards (36'), Ugarte (45+3'), Goncalves (66'), Morita (73'), Coates (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vitoria (60'), Juninho (63')
Pina (67'), Euller (82')
Fernandes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Casa Pia	3	1	4
10	Sporting Lisbon	3	0	4
11	Chaves	3	0	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Chaves
64.41% ( 0.42)	19.9% ( -0.09)	15.69% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82% (

-0.21)

41.18% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

-0.21)

63.57% (

0.21)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

0.05)

12.08% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.4% (

0.11)

37.6% (

-0.11)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

-0.54)

39.16% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12% (

-0.52)

75.88% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 64.4%

Chaves 15.69%

Draw 19.9%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Chaves
2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 64.4%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.9%	0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.69%