Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 1
Vizela

Hernandez (8')
Vitoria (16'), Teixeira (62'), Juninho (68'), Morim (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zohi (40')
Guzzo (21'), Zohi (84'), Claudemir (89'), Bondoso (90+4'), Isaac (90+7')
Sarmiento (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Vizela
42.09% ( 0.63)	28.31% ( -0.21)	29.6% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 45.5% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.56% (

0.58)

60.44% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.43% (

0.44)

80.57% (

-0.43)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.64% (

0.63)

28.35% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

0.79)

64.09% (

-0.79)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.51% (

-0.01)

36.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.72% (

-0.01)

73.28% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Chaves 42.09%

Vizela 29.6%

Draw 28.3%

Chaves	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 13.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.68% Total : 42.09%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.6%