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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Sporting Lisbon

Estoril
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

While Sporting Lisbon have stumbled into the new season, they possess the firepower needed to turn things around. Amorim's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and while Estoril Praia have proven to be a tough nut to crack this season, we are backing them to grind out a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
16.21% (-0.361 -0.36) 20.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 62.87% (0.366 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.23% (-0.771 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (-0.627 -0.63)44.76% (0.628 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (-0.607 -0.61)67.12% (0.607 0.61)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.31% (-0.831 -0.83)40.69% (0.832 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.72% (-0.757 -0.76)77.28% (0.75699999999999 0.76)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)13.62% (0.087000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (-0.176 -0.18)40.77% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 16.21%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.86%
    Draw 20.92%
Estoril PraiaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.47% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.92%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 11.01% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.32% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.65% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 62.86%

How you voted: Estoril vs Sporting Lisbon

Estoril Praia
25.6%
Draw
10.3%
Sporting Lisbon
64.1%
78
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Estoril
Goncalves (40'), Reis (76'), Sarabia (81')
Sarabia (50'), Porro (50'), Reis (82')

Ferraresi (45+2'), Joaozinho (54'), Acevedo (86')
Silva (64')
Sep 19, 2021 8.30pm
Estoril
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Figueira (65'), Geraldes (90+4'), Rosier (90+4')
Porro (67' pen.)
Santos (84'), Paulinho (90+4')
Feb 4, 2018 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Sporting Lisbon
Kyriakou (27'), Ewandro (31')
Ewandro (72')

Coentrao (59'), Carvalho (72'), Acuna (87')
Aug 27, 2017 6pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Estoril
Martins (4'), Fernandes (11')
Battaglia (35'), Fernandes (66'), Acuna (74'), Petrovic (90')
Evangelista (85')
Valente (45'), Evangelista (53'), Claro (59'), Monteiro (75'), Diakhite (90')
Feb 25, 2017 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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