Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Ndiaye (68'), Vital (73'), Alvaro (81'), Gouveia (84'), Lea Siliki (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

St Juste (13'), Edwards (21')
Edwards (57'), Adan (66'), Rochinha (78'), Coates (83'), Porro (86'), Ugarte (88'), Fatawu (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Chaves
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Gil Vicente	4	0	5
13	Sporting Lisbon	4	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	4	-2	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
16.21% ( -0.36)	20.92% ( -0)	62.87% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 51.23% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.24% (

-0.63)

44.76% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88% (

-0.61)

67.12% (

0.61)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

-0.83)

40.69% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

-0.76)

77.28% (

0.76)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.38% (

-0.09)

13.62% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.23% (

-0.18)

40.77% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 16.21%

Sporting Lisbon 62.86%

Draw 20.92%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.21%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.92%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 62.86%