Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 19, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Martins (6'), Gouveia (80')
Gouveia (14'), Tavares (66'), Ndiaye (90+2'), Vital (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Costinha (61'), Yakubu (73')
Pantalon (10'), Amaral (22'), Vitor (83')
Ferreira (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

Last Six:

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Pacos de Ferreira	2	-4	0
16	Rio Ave	2	-4	0
17	Maritimo	2	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
29.01% ( 0.04)	28.8% ( 0)	42.19% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.93% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.73% (

0.01)

62.27% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.06% (

0.01)

81.93% (

-0.01)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.04% (

0.04)

37.96% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.27% (

0.04)

74.73% (

-0.04)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.02)

29.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

-0.02)

65.13% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 29.01%

Rio Ave 42.19%

Draw 28.79%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 13.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 42.19%