Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 14, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Estoril

Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Hajduk Split
Wednesday, August 10 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Gil Vicente	1	1	3
8	Vitoria de Guimaraes	1	1	3
9	Vizela	1	1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
60.97% ( 2.73)	23.03% ( -0.51)	16% ( -2.23)

Both teams to score 44.47% (

-2.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38% (

-1.37)

53.61% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88% (

-1.17)

75.11% (

1.16)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

0.47)

17.21% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.5% (

0.84)

47.5% (

-0.85)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.71% (

-3.63)

46.28% (

3.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.06% (

-2.95)

81.94% (

2.94)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 60.96%

Estoril Praia 16%

Draw 23.02%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.94) 2-0 @ 12.33% ( 1.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 60.96%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.45) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.02%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.33% Total : 16%