Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Braga

Porto
4 - 1
Braga

Evanilson (32'), Eustaquio (34'), Pepe (63'), Galeno (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pepe (55' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-1 Porto
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, September 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBraga
62.26%20.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)17.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.56% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.06% (0.007000000000005 0.01)62.94% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (0.0020000000000095 0)12.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53% (0.0039999999999978 0)38.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Porto 62.26%
    Braga 17.31%
    Draw 20.43%
PortoDrawBraga
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.94%
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.89%
4-0 @ 3.59%
4-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.49%
5-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 62.26%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.43%
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-1 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.31%

How you voted: Porto vs Braga

Porto
37.5%
Draw
22.5%
Braga
40.0%
160
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Braga
1-0
Porto
Horta (54')
Oliveira (33'), Silva (90+2')

Pepe (76'), Galeno (90+2')
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
Porto
1-0
Braga
Diaz (22')
Mario (19'), Conceicao (45+2'), Otavio (64'), Vitinha (89')

Oliveira (38'), Silva (45+4'), Rodrigues (76'), Piazon (79'), Moura (86')
Mar 3, 2021 8.15pm
Porto
2-3
Braga
Otavio (30'), Marega (75')
Otavio (84')
Ruiz (9', 14'), Piazon (28')
Esgaio (43'), Piazon (77'), Magalhaes (80')
Borja (34')
Feb 10, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
1-1
Porto
Fransergio (90+12')
Sequeira (46'), Carmo (62'), Elmusrati (79'), Horta (90+10'), Esgaio (90+10')
Taremi (10')
Sarr (25'), Costa (90+7'), Evanilson (90+11')
Diaz (70'), Uribe (90+7')
Feb 7, 2021 8.45pm
Braga
2-2
Porto
Fransergio (87'), Gaitan (90+4')
Galeno (20'), Tormena (34'), Oliveira (35'), Carmo (59')
Oliveira (36' pen.), Taremi (54')
Corona (5'), Uribe (18'), Conceicao (23')
Corona (60'), Conceicao (90+6')
rhs 2.0


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