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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Vizela

Braga
2 - 0
Vizela

Oliveira (83'), Horta (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Estoril
Monday, September 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawVizela
65.41% (-0.506 -0.51)20.24% (0.323 0.32)14.35% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.99% (-0.575 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (-1.019 -1.02)45.45% (1.02 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21% (-0.981 -0.98)67.78% (0.98 0.98)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.92% (-0.456 -0.46)13.08% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.31% (-0.935 -0.93)39.69% (0.935 0.94)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36% (-0.363 -0.36)43.64% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.302 -0.3)79.82% (0.304 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Braga 65.4%
    Vizela 14.35%
    Draw 20.24%
BragaDrawVizela
2-0 @ 11.8% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 4.07% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.66% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 65.4%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.158 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.245 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.24%
0-1 @ 4.73% (0.158 0.16)
1-2 @ 3.99% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.35%

How you voted: Braga vs Vizela

Braga
89.5%
Draw
10.5%
Vizela
0.0%
38
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 8.30pm
Vizela
0-1
Braga

Alvarado (50'), Fernandes (67'), Anderson (75')
Medeiros (39')
Carmo (6'), Horta (13'), Magalhaes (88'), Mineiro (90+1')
Oliveira (44')
Nov 30, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
4-1
Vizela
Horta (27', 45' pen.), Silva (57'), Ruiz (90+3')
Moura (84')
Kouao (72')