Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Oliveira (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-3 Braga
Sunday, September 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	6	11	18
2	Braga	6	16	16
3	Porto	6	11	15

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, September 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Union Berlin	6	9	14
2	Freiburg	6	5	13
3	Bayern Munich	6	14	12

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Union Berlin
49.39% ( 0.08)	25.88%	24.72% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 48.94% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.63% (

-0.07)

54.37% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.25% (

-0.06)

75.75% (

0.06)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.95% (

0.01)

22.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

0.01)

55.38% (

-0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.78% (

-0.11)

37.22% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.99% (

-0.11)

74.01% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Braga 49.38%

Union Berlin 24.72%

Draw 25.88%

Braga	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.38%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.72%