Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Braga

Rio Ave
2 - 3
Braga

Boateng (81'), Yakubu (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Elmusrati (11'), Medeiros (25'), Horta (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

Last Six:
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, September 5 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

Last Six:
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Braga
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawBraga
21.34% (0.010999999999999 0.01)24.07% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)54.59% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.41% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.247 0.25)50.46% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (0.219 0.22)72.39% (-0.21899999999999 -0.22)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76% (0.15 0.15)38.23% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01% (0.145 0.15)74.99% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.113 0.11)18.38% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (0.189 0.19)49.52% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 21.34%
    Braga 54.58%
    Draw 24.06%
Rio AveDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.76% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.34%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 11.9% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 10.08% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.69% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.47% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.41% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.32% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.58%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Braga

Rio Ave
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Braga
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 8.30pm
Rio Ave
0-0
Braga

Augusto (35'), Amaral (41'), Aderlan (61')
Gelson (80')

Sequeira (30'), Carlos Teixeira Lopes Reis Goncalves (69')
Dec 22, 2020 8.15pm
Braga
3-0
Rio Ave
Horta (43'), Fransergio (62'), Paulinho (88')
Tormena (60')
Jun 30, 2020 9.30pm
Rio Ave
4-3
Braga
Taremi (35', 90+6' pen.), Santos (36'), Gelson (41')
Aderlan (57'), Tarantini (85')
Paulinho (21', 81'), Horta (27')
Esgaio (83'), Fransergio (89')
Rolando (90+2')
Dec 2, 2019 6.45pm
Braga
2-0
Rio Ave
Paulinho (41'), Horta (80')
Sequeira (74'), Viana (88')

Vito (14'), Junio (85')
Mar 3, 2019 5.30pm
Rio Ave
1-2
Braga
Carlos (49')
Jambor (39'), Coentrao (89')
Jambor (56')
Paulinho (77'), Eduardo (90')
Silva (29'), Viana (62'), Goiano (79'), Paulinho (90')