Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Rio Ave | 5 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 |
3 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 |
4 | Portimonense | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
21.34% ( 0.01) | 24.07% ( -0.06) | 54.59% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( 0.25) | 50.46% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% ( 0.22) | 72.39% ( -0.22) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( 0.15) | 38.23% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% ( 0.15) | 74.99% ( -0.14) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% ( 0.11) | 18.38% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.48% ( 0.19) | 49.52% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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