Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 3, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Tormena (90+8')
Elmusrati (45+1'), Silva (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amaro (2'), Freitas (18'), Fernandes (23'), Varela (59'), Lameiras (90+1'), Silva (90+1'), Safira (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-6 Braga
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	5	10	15
2	Braga	4	14	10
3	Porto	4	6	9

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Sporting Lisbon	5	0	7
9	Vitoria de Guimaraes	4	0	6
10	Boavista	4	-3	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
60.09% ( 2.24)	22.27% ( -0.74)	17.65% ( -1.49)

Both teams to score 49.91% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

0.88)

48.05% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

0.81)

70.22% (

-0.8)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

1.07)

15.58% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.47% (

1.95)

44.54% (

-1.94)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.12% (

-1.2)

40.88% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55% (

-1.09)

77.45% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Braga 60.08%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.65%

Draw 22.27%

Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.08%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.27%	0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.94% Total : 17.65%