Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 5 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 4 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
60.09% ( 2.24) | 22.27% ( -0.74) | 17.65% ( -1.49) |
Both teams to score 49.91% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% ( 0.88) | 48.05% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( 0.81) | 70.22% ( -0.8) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( 1.07) | 15.58% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.47% ( 1.95) | 44.54% ( -1.94) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.12% ( -1.2) | 40.88% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.55% ( -1.09) | 77.45% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.94% Total : 17.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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