| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Braga | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Estoril Praia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Pacos de Ferreira | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Famalicao | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
| 61.02% ( | 22.18% ( | 16.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( | 49.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( | 71.11% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( | 15.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.42% ( | 44.58% ( |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( | 42.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.13% ( | 78.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% ( 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.01% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 4.19% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.8% |