Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Junior (62'), Cariello (88')
Estrela (44'), Moufi (45+2'), Pedrao (84'), Ewerton (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (46')
Varela (84'), Janvier (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, August 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Boavista	2	2	6
4	Vitoria de Guimaraes	2	2	6
5	Arouca	3	-2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
37.71% ( 0.25)	30.07% ( 0.5)	32.22% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 41.7% (

-1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.5% (

-1.64)

65.5% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.76% (

-1.15)

84.24% (

1.15)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

-0.7)

33.5% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

-0.78)

70.14% (

0.77)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.72% (

-1.45)

37.28% (

1.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.93% (

-1.46)

74.07% (

1.46)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 37.7%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 32.21%

Draw 30.06%

Portimonense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.7%	1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.74) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.06%	0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.78% Total : 32.21%