| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Chaves | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Pacos de Ferreira | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Pacos de Ferreira | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
| 48.95% ( | 27.26% | 23.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.06% ( | 59.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% ( | 80.19% ( |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( | 24.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% | 59.15% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.79% ( | 41.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.26% ( | 77.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 14.22% 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.25% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 3.92% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9% 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.22% Total : 23.79% |