Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
1 - 2
Rio Ave

Eduardo Teodora da Silva (11')
Azouni (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aderlan (51'), Mane (90+4')
Augusto (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Rio Ave
28.59%	26.92%	44.49%

Both teams to score 48.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.1%

55.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.99%

77.01%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16%

34.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43%

71.57%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75%

25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35%

59.65%

Score Analysis

Nacional 28.59%

Rio Ave 44.49%

Draw 26.92%

Nacional	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 6.71% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.59%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 12.07% 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-2 @ 8.37% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.49%