Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.