Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 2, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 1
Vizela

Neres (76'), Mario (90+12' pen.)
Otamendi (42'), Fernandez (51'), Mario (82'), Aursnes (84'), Ramos (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Osmajic (20')
Guzzo (26'), Silva (45+1'), Mendez (86'), Rosa (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Tuesday, August 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	4	9	12
2	Braga	4	14	10
3	Porto	4	6	9

Vizela

Last Six:

Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Gil Vicente
Monday, August 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Arouca	4	-8	6
11	Vizela	4	0	5
12	Gil Vicente	4	0	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.21%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Vizela
77.21% ( 1.41)	14.35% ( -0.96)	8.45% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 49.45% (

1.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.83% (

3.21)

34.17% (

-3.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.94% (

3.54)

56.05% (

-3.54)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.78% (

1.03)

7.22% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.81% (

2.65)

26.19% (

-2.65)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.3% (

1.24)

46.7% (

-1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.74% (

0.93)

82.26% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Benfica 77.2%

Vizela 8.45%

Draw 14.35%

Benfica	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 11.64% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.41) 5-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.19) 5-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.22) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.2) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.2% Total : 77.2%	1-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.59) Other @ 0.85% Total : 14.35%	1-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.33% Total : 8.45%