Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Bessa Século XXI

Boavista
0 - 3
Benfica

Lourenco (27'), Cannon (52'), Sasso (81'), Makouta (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morato (30'), Mario (67', 82' pen.)
Silva (7'), Schmidt (52'), Grimaldo (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Estoril Praia	4	4	7
4	Benfica	2	5	6
5	Portimonense	3	3	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Benfica
14.79% ( 0.2)	20.28% ( 0.16)	64.93% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 50% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

-0.29)

44.69% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.94% (

-0.28)

67.05% (

0.28)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.46% (

0.1)

42.54% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.1% (

0.09)

78.9% (

-0.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.01% (

-0.19)

12.99% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.5% (

-0.4)

39.5% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Boavista 14.79%

Benfica 64.93%

Draw 20.28%

Boavista	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 14.79%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.28%	0-2 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.83% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 4% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 64.93%