| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Estoril Praia | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Boavista | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 44.55% ( | 27.43% ( | 28.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( | 58.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( | 78.72% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( | 25.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( | 60.93% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( | 36.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.78% ( | 73.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.54% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 2-2 @ 4.39% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.02% |