Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 2
Boavista

Sagnan (41'), Pedro (77')
Borges (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gorre (51'), Njie (86')
Gorre (32'), Makouta (71'), Malheiro (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Boavista

Last Six:

Last Game: Tondela 2-2 Boavista
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Maritimo	33	-3	38
9	Boavista	34	-13	38
10	Portimonense	34	-14	38

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Tondela	Draw	Boavista
39.54% ( -0.59)	26.23% ( 0.24)	34.23% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

-0.93)

51.35% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

-0.82)

73.17% (

0.82)

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

-0.74)

25.49% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

-1.02)

60.34% (

1.02)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43% (

-0.23)

28.57% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64% (

-0.3)

64.36% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Tondela 39.54%

Boavista 34.23%

Draw 26.22%

Tondela	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.54%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.22%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.23%