Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 16, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 0
Tondela

Martins (40'), Mirallas (45+2')
Martins (50'), Pasinato (64'), Franco (74'), Frimpong (88'), Yan (90+1'), Camara (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pedro (59'), Borges (66'), Hernando (76'), Lacava (84'), Alves (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

Last Six:

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Moreirense	33	-17	29
17	Tondela	34	-26	28
18	Belenenses	34	-32	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
40.89%	26.45%	32.66%

Both teams to score 52.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41%

52.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76%

74.24%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87%

60.13%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.81%

30.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65%

66.34%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 40.89%

Tondela 32.66%

Draw 26.44%

Moreirense	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.95% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.89%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 9.16% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.66%