Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 21, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
2 - 0
Boavista

Martins (61'), Godwin (67')
Clayton (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferreira (19'), Makouta (74'), Perez (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

Last Six:

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Gil Vicente	2	0	3
13	Casa Pia	2	-1	1
14	Santa Clara	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Boavista
37.04% ( 4.38)	28.52% ( 0.96)	34.44% ( -5.34)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

-2.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.8% (

-3.26)

60.2% (

3.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.61% (

-2.54)

80.39% (

2.54)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

1.21)

31.19% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47% (

1.38)

67.53% (

-1.38)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-4.9)

32.87% (

4.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-5.84)

69.44% (

5.84)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 37.03%

Boavista 34.43%

Draw 28.52%

Casa Pia	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 1.73) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 1.2) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.54) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 1.19) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.9) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -1.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.78) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.43%