Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 30, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 2
Pacos de Ferreira

Neres (42'), Mario (45+4' pen.), Ramos (56')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Philippe Koffi (39', 80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Braga	4	14	10
2	Benfica	3	8	9
3	Porto	4	6	9

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-3 Estoril
Friday, August 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Santa Clara	4	-3	1
17	Pacos de Ferreira	3	-7	0
18	Maritimo	4	-11	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 5.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.87%) and 1-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
81.96% ( 0.07)	12.69% ( -0.04)	5.35% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 37.93% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.7% (

0.11)

39.29% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.37% (

0.11)

61.63% (

-0.11)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.66% (

0.04)

7.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.48% (

0.09)

26.51% (

-0.09)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.94% (

59.06% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.84% (

90.16% (

Score Analysis

Benfica 81.94%

Pacos de Ferreira 5.35%

Draw 12.69%

Benfica	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 14.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 81.94%	1-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 12.69%	0-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 5.35%