Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
2 | Benfica | 3 | 8 | 9 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Santa Clara | 4 | -3 | 1 |
17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 3 | -7 | 0 |
18 | Maritimo | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 5.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.87%) and 1-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
81.96% ( 0.07) | 12.69% ( -0.04) | 5.35% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 37.93% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.7% ( 0.11) | 39.29% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.37% ( 0.11) | 61.63% ( -0.11) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.66% ( 0.04) | 7.34% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.48% ( 0.09) | 26.51% ( -0.09) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
40.94% ( 0) | 59.06% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
9.84% ( 0) | 90.16% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
2-0 @ 14.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 81.94% | 1-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 12.69% | 0-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 1.5% Total : 5.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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