| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 36.47% ( | 27.33% ( | 36.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% ( | 55.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% ( | 76.82% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( | 29.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.73% ( | 65.26% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( | 29.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( | 65.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.2% |