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Leroy Sane
3'
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Jamal Musiala
17'
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Sadio Mane
39'
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Thomas Muller
84'
Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 72.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Bayern Munich Goals
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.2% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 72.2%
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.83%
0-1 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 11.97%
Head to Head
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Niklas Sule
18'
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Kingsley Coman
72'
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Mitchel Bakker
32'
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Thomas Muller
36'
(OG)
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Kerem Demirbay
54'
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Patrik Schick
55'
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Robert Lewandowski
4'
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Robert Lewandowski
30'
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Thomas Muller
34'
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Serge Gnabry
35'
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Serge Gnabry
37'
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Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
7'
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Joshua Kimmich
13'
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Patrik Schick
14'
-
Leon Bailey
72'
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Serge Gnabry
24'
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Robert Lewandowski
43'
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Robert Lewandowski
90'+3'
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Wendell
28'
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Sven Bender
63'
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Kai Havertz
90'+5'
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David Alaba
16'
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Serge Gnabry
24'
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Robert Lewandowski
59'
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Robert Lewandowski
67'
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Robert Lewandowski
89'
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Lucas Alario
10'
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Nadiem Amiri
30'
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Karim Bellarabi
35'
-
Aleksandar Dragovic
74'
-
Florian Wirtz
89'
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Kingsley Coman
8'
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Kingsley Coman
27'
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Robert Lewandowski
32'
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Thomas Muller
40'
-
Leon Goretzka
42'
-
Serge Gnabry
45'
-
Robert Lewandowski
66'