Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
1 - 0
Famalicao

Pedrao (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, August 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Rio Ave	4	-2	4
15	Famalicao	4	-4	4
16	Santa Clara	4	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 27.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portimonense.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Famalicao
43.89% ( -1.73)	28.33% ( 0.04)	27.77% ( 1.69)

Both teams to score 44.51% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.77% (

0.66)

61.22% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.84% (

0.49)

81.16% (

-0.49)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.24% (

-0.59)

27.76% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.66% (

-0.77)

63.33% (

0.77)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61% (

1.82)

38.39% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.86% (

1.7)

75.14% (

-1.7)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 43.89%

Famalicao 27.77%

Draw 28.32%

Portimonense	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 13.65% ( -0.58) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.89%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.59% Total : 27.77%