| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 49.07% ( | 26.01% ( | 24.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.32% ( | 54.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( | 76% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( | 22.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% ( | 55.79% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( | 37.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% ( | 73.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.93% |