Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.