Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 20, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
1 - 2
Arouca

Amorim (50')
Antonio (30'), Marcos (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mujica (61'), Basso (76' pen.)
Milovanov (40'), Soro (42'), Esgaio (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Gil Vicente
Monday, August 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Vizela	2	0	3
12	Arouca	2	-3	3
13	Santa Clara	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
53.31% ( -0.48)	25.01% ( 0.3)	21.68% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.23% (

-0.95)

53.77% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76% (

-0.8)

75.24% (

0.8)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

-0.56)

20.15% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.57% (

-0.91)

52.43% (

0.91)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.23% (

-0.36)

39.77% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.56% (

-0.33)

76.44% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 53.3%

Arouca 21.68%

Draw 25%

Santa Clara	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.83% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.3%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.68%