Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
| 42.79% ( | 27.68% ( | 29.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( | 58.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( | 78.9% ( |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( | 26.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( | 62.28% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.63% ( | 35.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.87% ( | 72.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.53% |