Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.