Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Famalicao

Bolgado (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Santa Clara	7	-3	5
16	Famalicao	6	-6	4
17	Pacos de Ferreira	7	-10	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
35.6% ( 2.15)	29.67% ( 1.02)	34.73% ( -3.16)

Both teams to score 43.03% (

-2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.95% (

-3.29)

64.05% (

3.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78% (

-2.41)

83.22% (

2.41)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

-0.28)

34.11% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

-0.3)

70.8% (

0.3)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.3% (

-3.75)

34.7% (

3.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.57% (

-4.19)

71.43% (

4.19)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 35.6%

Famalicao 34.72%

Draw 29.66%

Casa Pia	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 1.39) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.6%	1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 1.37) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.57) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.54) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.48) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.23% Total : 34.72%