Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Leo Bolgado 60' goal

Casa Pia vs Famalicao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 11, 2022 3.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira 2 - 3 Casa Pia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Famalicao

All competitions
Last game
Sep 10, 2022 3.30pm
Famalicao 0 - 1 Benfica
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ivan Jaime

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.6%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Casa Pia.

Result

Casa Pia 35.6% (+2.16)
Draw 29.67% (+1.02)
Famalicao 34.73% (-3.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.03% (-2.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.95% (-3.30)
Under 2.5 64.05% (+3.30)
Over 3.5 16.78% (-2.42)
Under 3.5 83.22% (+2.42)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 65.89% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 34.11% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 29.2% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 70.8% (+0.31)

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5 65.3% (-3.76)
Under 0.5 34.7% (+3.76)
Over 1.5 28.57% (-4.19)
Under 1.5 71.43% (+4.19)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 35.6%
Draw 29.66%
Famalicao 34.72%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 12.73% (+1.40)
2-1 @ 7.25% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.85% (+0.70)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (+0.24)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.16)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.47% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 11.83% (+1.37)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.40)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.66%
Famalicao
0-1 @ 12.52% (+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.68)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.58)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.54)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.48)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.31)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 34.72%