Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.