Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.24%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Maccabi Haifa win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.