Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Casa Pia

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 3
Casa Pia

Butzke (17', 90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Godwin (58'), Neto (60'), Clayton (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawCasa Pia
41.85% (0.065999999999995 0.07)26.86% (0.072000000000003 0.07)31.29% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-0.269 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (-0.318 -0.32)54.61% (0.321 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (-0.265 -0.27)75.95% (0.267 0.27)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.11 -0.11)25.76% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.151 -0.15)60.7% (0.154 0.15)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.258 -0.26)32.16% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (-0.297 -0.3)68.64% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 41.85%
    Casa Pia 31.29%
    Draw 26.85%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.85%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Casa Pia

Pacos de Ferreira
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Casa Pia
25.0%
8