MX23RW : Friday, December 13 17:25:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Arouca

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Arouca


Baro (65'), Fernandes (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-6 Braga
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Arouca

Casa Pia have enjoyed a fine start to their top-flight campaign and this has been owing to the solid job done at the defensive end of the pitch. Arouca, meanwhile, will be looking to regroup and get their season back on track following their disappointing loss against Braga. We predict a cagey affair at the National Sports Center of Jamor, with both sides settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawArouca
41.66% (1.624 1.62) 28.48% (0.359 0.36) 29.86% (-1.988 -1.99)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-1.699 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07% (-1.783 -1.78)60.93% (1.779 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-1.356 -1.36)80.94% (1.354 1.35)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.051000000000002 0.05)28.83% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)64.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (-2.435 -2.44)36.55% (2.433 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-2.535 -2.54)73.34% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 41.65%
    Arouca 29.85%
    Draw 28.47%
Casa PiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.552 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.675 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.438 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Arouca
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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