Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Arouca

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-6 Braga
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Boavista	4	-3	6
11	Arouca	4	-8	6
12	Vizela	5	-1	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Arouca
41.66% ( 1.62)	28.48% ( 0.36)	29.86% ( -1.99)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.07% (

-1.78)

60.93% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.06% (

-1.36)

80.94% (

1.35)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

0.05)

28.83% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

0.07)

64.69% (

-0.07)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.45% (

-2.44)

36.55% (

2.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.66% (

-2.54)

73.34% (

2.53)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 41.65%

Arouca 29.85%

Draw 28.47%

Casa Pia	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.87) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.55) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.6% Total : 41.65%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.47%	0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.85%