Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.