Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
44.13% ( -0.67) | 27.79% ( 0.13) | 28.08% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 46.14% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.75% ( -0.18) | 59.25% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.33% ( -0.14) | 79.66% ( 0.14) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.29% ( -0.43) | 26.7% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.04% ( -0.57) | 61.96% ( 0.57) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.95% ( 0.35) | 37.05% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.16% ( 0.34) | 73.84% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.95% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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