Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 44.13% ( | 27.79% ( | 28.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.75% ( | 59.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.33% ( | 79.66% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( | 26.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.04% ( | 61.96% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( | 37.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( | 73.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.08% |