Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.