| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Arouca | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 5 | -5 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 59.98% ( | 24.1% ( | 15.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( | 57.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( | 78.36% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( | 19.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.38% ( | 50.61% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.22% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.2% ( | 83.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 15.4% ( 2-0 @ 12.77% ( 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.97% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 3.29% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.92% |