Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 8, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
4 - 2
Rio Ave

Ramos (13', 45+1'), Luiz (19' og.), Musa (62')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Ronaldo (6'), Rodrigues (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 1-1 PSG
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Rio Ave
73.76% ( -0.08)	15.61% ( 0.05)	10.62% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.94% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.86% (

-0.17)

33.14% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.11% (

-0.19)

54.89% (

0.19)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.31% (

-0.05)

7.69% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.59% (

-0.14)

27.41% (

0.14)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.43% (

-0.06)

41.57% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.94% (

-0.06)

78.06% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Benfica 73.76%

Rio Ave 10.62%

Draw 15.62%

Benfica	Draw	Rio Ave
2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 73.76%	1-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.62%	1-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.31% Total : 10.62%