Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Benfica
Oct 8, 2022 6.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Rio Ave
  • Goncalo Ramos 13' goal
  • Jhonatan Luiz 19' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 45'+1' goal
  • Petar Musa 62' goal
  • goal Fabio Ronaldo 6'
  • goal Goncalo Rodrigues 86'

Benfica vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Benfica
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Goncalo Ramos

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 3.30pm
Rio Ave 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.76%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 10.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 3-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.2%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 73.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 15.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Rio Ave 10.62% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.94% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.86% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 33.14% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 3.5 45.11% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 54.89% ▲ (+0.20)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 92.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 7.69% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 72.59% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 27.41% ▲ (+0.15)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 58.43% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 41.57% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 21.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 78.06% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Benfica 73.76%
Draw 15.62%
Rio Ave 10.62%
Benfica
2-0 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
6-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 73.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.62%
Rio Ave
1-2 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 10.62%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Benfica
Mar 1, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Rio Ave
  • Haris Seferovic 59' goal
  • Rafa Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Pizzi 78' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Rio Ave
Oct 18, 2020 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Benfica
  • Ivo Pinto 81' yellowcard
  • goal Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 6'
  • goal Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 78'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 80'
  • goal Gabriel 84'
  • yellowcard Julian Weigl 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Rio Ave
Jun 17, 2020 9.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio dos Arcos
Benfica
  • Ali Elmusrati 13' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 26' goal
  • Ali Elmusrati 62' redcard
  • Nuno Santos 72' redcard
  • Diogo Figueiras 80' yellowcard
  • Diogo Figueiras 90'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Pizzi 45'+3'
  • goal Haris Seferovic 64'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 74'
  • goal Julian Weigl 87'
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
Jan 14, 2020 9.15pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Rio Ave
  • Ruben Dias 3' yellowcard
  • Franco Cervi 13' goal
  • Haris Seferovic 64' goal
  • Haris Seferovic 71' goal
  • goal Lucas Piazon 4'
  • yellowcard Filipe Augusto 21'
  • goal Mehdi Taremi 30'
  • yellowcard Diego Lopes 51'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Benfica
Nov 2, 2019 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisboa)
Rio Ave
  • Franco Cervi 29' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dias 32' goal
  • Pizzi 51' goal
  • yellowcard Aderlan 35'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 45'
  • yellowcard Tarantini 63'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Rio Ave
May 12, 2019 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube (Vila do Conde)
Benfica
  • Junio 41' yellowcard
  • Fabio Coentrao 45' yellowcard
  • Tarantini 45' yellowcard
  • Tarantini 50' goal
  • Ronan Jeronimo 84' goal
  • goal Rafa Silva 3'
  • goal Joao Felix 45'
  • yellowcard Ruben Dias 45'
  • goal Pizzi 56'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Grimaldo 86'
  • yellowcard Odisseas Vlachodimos 91'

Form Data

Benfica 1 - 1 PSG
Guimaraes 0 - 0 Benfica
Benfica 5 - 0 Maritimo
Juventus 1 - 2 Benfica
Famalicao 0 - 1 Benfica
Benfica 2 - 0 M. Haifa
Rio Ave 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Rio Ave
Rio Ave 2 - 3 Braga
Chaves 1 - 1 Rio Ave
Rio Ave 3 - 1 Porto
Estoril 2 - 2 Rio Ave