Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 6 | 11 | 18 |
2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 |
3 | Porto | 7 | 11 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 7 | -10 | 1 |
18 | Maritimo | 6 | -13 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.28%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.68%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Maritimo |
81.28% ( 0.12) | 12.54% ( 0.12) | 6.18% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 44.17% ( -2.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.65% ( -1.81) | 34.35% ( 1.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.74% ( -2.07) | 56.26% ( 2.07) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.55% ( -0.34) | 6.44% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.89% ( -0.95) | 24.11% ( 0.96) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.21% ( -2.07) | 52.79% ( 2.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.48% ( -1.36) | 86.52% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Maritimo |
2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.18) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.19% Total : 81.26% | 1-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.54% | 0-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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