Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
5 - 0
Maritimo

Silva (28'), Ramos (47', 64'), Neres (82'), Draxler (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 1-2 Benfica
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	6	11	18
2	Braga	6	16	16
3	Porto	7	11	16

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.28%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.68%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
81.28% ( 0.12)	12.54% ( 0.12)	6.18% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 44.17% (

-2.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.65% (

-1.81)

34.35% (

1.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.74% (

-2.07)

56.26% (

2.07)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.55% (

-0.34)

6.44% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.89% (

-0.95)

24.11% (

0.96)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.21% (

-2.07)

52.79% (

2.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.48% (

-1.36)

86.52% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Benfica 81.26%

Maritimo 6.18%

Draw 12.54%

Benfica	Draw	Maritimo
2-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.18) 6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.11) Other @ 4.19% Total : 81.26%	1-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.57% Total : 12.54%	0-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.11% Total : 6.18%