Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
1 - 2
Benfica

Milik (4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mario (43' pen.), Neres (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Juventus and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Salernitana
Sunday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lazio	6	4	11
8	Juventus	6	5	10
9	Torino	6	0	10

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, September 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	6	11	18
2	Braga	6	16	16
3	Porto	6	11	15

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Benfica
31.26% ( -0.06)	24.5% ( 0.03)	44.24% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.02% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

-0.15)

44.68% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

-0.15)

67.05% (

0.14)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0.11)

27.19% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.15)

62.6% (

0.14)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68% (

-0.05)

20.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.31% (

-0.08)

52.69% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Juventus 31.26%

Benfica 44.24%

Draw 24.5%

Juventus	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 31.26%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 44.24%