Champions League
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danilo Pereira 41' goal
  • goal Lionel Messi 22'

Benfica vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
Juventus 1 - 2 Benfica

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 14, 2022 8.00pm
M. Haifa 1 - 3 PSG

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Benfica 40.44% (-0.04)
Draw 22.12% (+0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain 37.44% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.85% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.69% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 31.31% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 47.25% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 52.75% (+0.25)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 83.6% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 16.39% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 53.96% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 46.04% (+0.18)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 82.35% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 17.65% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 51.73% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 48.26% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Benfica 40.44%
Draw 22.12%
Paris Saint-Germain 37.44%
Benfica
2-1 @ 8.21% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.23% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.73% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.85% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 40.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 7.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.89% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 2.48% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.12%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.02% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.44%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 10, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Maxi Pereira 31' yellowcard
  • Lima 45' goal
  • Nicolas Gaitan 58' goal
  • Silvio 87' yellowcard
  • goal Edinson Cavani 37'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 50'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Menez 72'
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 77'
Champions League
Oct 2, 2013 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 5' goal
  • Marquinhos 25' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 31' goal
  • Gregory van der Wiel 36' yellowcard
  • Alex 47' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Gaitan 33'

Build-up

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