Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.23%) and 3-1 (4.95%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.