Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Sammy Ofer Stadium

Maccabi Haifa
1 - 3
PSG

Chery (24')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Messi (37'), Mbappe (69'), Neymar (88')

Reaction

Paris Saint-Germain's Lionel Messi in action with Maccabi Haifa's Daniel Sundgren on September 14, 2022

Lionel Messi breaks Cristiano Ronaldo Champions League goalscoring record

Lionel Messi breaks a Champions League goalscoring record he previously shared with Cristiano Ronaldo in Paris Saint-Germain's 3-1 win over Maccabi Haifa in Group H.

Sep 15, 08:18

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Haifa

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

Paris Saint-Germain

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 1-0 Brest
Saturday, September 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	21	19
2	Marseille	7	11	19
3	Lens	7	9	17

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Maccabi Haifa win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
17.15% ( -0.14)	23.09% ( -0.02)	59.77% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 46.51% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.9% (

-0.13)

52.1% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.18% (

-0.11)

73.82% (

0.11)

Maccabi Haifa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.1% (

-0.26)

43.89% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.96% (

-0.22)

80.04% (

0.22)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

0.01)

17.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.71% (

0.02)

47.29% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Maccabi Haifa 17.15%

Paris Saint-Germain 59.76%

Draw 23.08%

Maccabi Haifa	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.15%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.08%	0-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 11.7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.89% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 59.76%