Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Maccabi Haifa win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.